Editor's Note: This article comes fromChatting with Xiaozha (ID: xiaonazha88), reprinted by Odaily with authorization.
Editor's Note: This article comes from
Chatting with Xiaozha (ID: xiaonazha88)
Chatting with Xiaozha (ID: xiaonazha88)
, reprinted by Odaily with authorization.
Hot spots in 2020: Polkadot, ETH2.0, DeFi, Filecoin.
At the end of 2020, many people made predictions and boldly guessed the hot spots in 2021. This article summarizes three predictions:
1) Yu Jianing, President of Huobi University, the era of the big bang in 2021;
2) Investment analysts of 1confirmation: three major industry trends in 2021;
3) Calvin Chu's prediction on wealth freedom in 2021.
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1. Commonality of hotspots in 2020
Looking back at the four hot spots in 2020, Polkadot started in 2017, Filecoin also raised funds for projects in 2017, projects such as aave and MakerDao in DeFi also started in 2017, and ETH2.0 has also been in development for a long time.
In terms of time, these hotspots have been accumulated and developed over a long period of time, and have gradually developed and grown. In other words, hot spots are the result of long-term precipitation in the market.
Then the hot spot in 2021 should also be something accumulated over a long period of time, otherwise it will be a flash in the pan, not a long-term hot spot.
Therefore, personally looking at 2020, the hot spots are still DeFi, Polkadot, and Filecoin. Because these three have not yet released their full energy. For example, the application of DeFi is far more than that. The application of blockchain technology is the kingly way, and it has also reached the period of application.
According to the blockchain technology maturity curve released by Gartner in 2019, many blockchain technologies will enter a recovery period in 2021. (Gartner's 2020 maturity curve for blockchain technology has not yet been released)
Here are some of the bigwigs' predictions.
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2. Yu Jianing, President of Huobi University, the era of big bang in 2021
Yu Jianing said that blockchain technology will enter the era of big explosion in 2021, and the huge potential energy generated by the transformation of wealth form will be the biggest opportunity for a generation, with three major trends.
1) With the explosion of digital assets, the wave of wealth digitization has begun;
2) The explosion of transactions on the chain, the digital renminbi is a programmable currency, and the era of the Internet of Everything is the era of comprehensive transactions on the chain;
3) The explosion of industrial applications, new technologies accelerate the construction of new infrastructure, and accelerate the development of blockchain applications and industrial innovation.
1) Distributed storage system: maximize the value of data and form a new business form;
2) DeFi: It indicates that the "new generation of financial revolution" is coming, and the blockchain is changing the financial system in all aspects;
3) NFT: The model of helping assets on the chain has opened up the territory of digital wealth.
3. 1confirmation’s investment analyst: three major trends in the blockchain industry in 2021
source:https://cryptoart.io/data
1. Encrypted art
Transaction volume in the crypto art industry has increased by more than 50% month-on-month, and Beeple, a digital artist with more than 1.7 million Instagram followers, issued NFTs and tokenized some of his art works.
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Why I think crypto art has great potential:
1) Blockchain can easily verify the authenticity of works of art, while traditional works of art, such as Picasso's paintings, are difficult to forge, but they are also difficult to verify.
2) NFT opens up a new business model for digital artists to sell personal artwork without relying on commissions from commercial customers.
3) Crypto art is well positioned to capture the shift in art world tastes from baby boomers to millennials.
4) Crypto art is one of the potentially major ways to use blockchain and cryptocurrencies.
2. Forecast the market
A big story in 2020: Pollsters give Biden an 85%-90% chance of winning the election, while forecasting markets put it at around 60%-65%.
In hindsight, the election turned out to be much closer than expected, and the polls got it all wrong. But polling is a multibillion-dollar industry, and hundreds of millions of dollars in campaign dollars are wasted because of inaccurate polling data.
3. DeFi Derivatives
From 2018 to 2020, DeFi infrastructure has developed rapidly, such as lending protocols (Aave, Compound,), trading platforms (Uniswap, Curve, Balancer), and asset issuance protocols (USDC, DAI, WBTC).
As these base layers continue to grow, the enormous liquidity built upon them allows a whole new layer of derivative financial instruments to be built. Some of the more obvious examples include structured products, index ETFs, options, futures, swaps, and more.
In traditional finance, the derivatives market is several times larger than the spot market. BlackRock's market capitalization is $100 billion, while the total market capitalization of structured finance products is estimated to be 5 to 10 times higher ($500 billion to $1 trillion). If it is to be extended to the DeFi industry, this means that there are major opportunities in derivatives projects, and the current is only the tip of the iceberg of everything to come.
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4. Calvin Chu's prediction on wealth and freedom in 2021
Calvin Chu said that if you understand these predictions, you may achieve financial freedom by the end of 2021. He gave 21 predictions, which are quite a lot.
The author first briefly summarizes three direct price comparison predictions:
3) In 2021, ETH will outperform BTC;https://twitter.com/calchulus/status/1346579305057325056?s=20
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4) In 2021, social tokens will become more and more popular, and at least one social token will enter the top 250 market capitalization list.
For the full text of Calvin Chu's 21 predictions, you can view
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