A glance at the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects
深潮TechFlow
2023-01-17 12:30
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Is now the time to study the $OP ecosystem and find hidden alpha?

Compilation of the original text: Deep Tide TechFlow

Compilation of the original text: Deep Tide TechFlow

Daily active users of $OP ("DAUs") are increasing, TVL is increasing, and smart money is pouring in. Is now the time to study the $OP ecosystem and find hidden alpha? Let's jump down the rabbit hole and dissect the latest L2 development.

smart money flowing in

Smart money inflows into $OP amounted to $4.2m in the last 7 days, as seen by Onchain Wizard from ChainEdge, possibly for $OP's Bedrock upgrade and $OP's last week's mission trade.

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$OP volume and TVL

  • OP fees have skyrocketed, ranking fourth behind BTC over the past 7 days.

  • Overall TVL increased from 500 million to 572 million, an increase of about 14% over the past two weeks.

  • OP Daily Deals > Arbitrum.

Interpretation of the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects

Interpretation of the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects

Price movement of OP

  • Current price:$1.72

  • Current market cap:$377 million

  • FDV:$7.5 billion

  • The next major unlock, representing 3.6% of the total supply, will happen in 135 days. There is plenty of time for the OP ecosystem to take off before predatory VCs enter the game.

OP Ecosystem

As $OP grows in popularity, here are the top 5 projects to watch:

  • VelodromeFi: The Solidity-Forked AMM on the OP, with the second highest TVL.

  • Perpetual Protocol:Perp Dex has more than 15 trading pairs and real yield token economics.

  • Lyra Finance:Options trading platform.

  • Sonne Finance:A native lending protocol on OP with the deepest OP liquidity.

  • OPX:Low market cap Perp Dex with real yield token economics.

The reasons are as follows:The reasons are as follows:

  • Perpetual Protocol provides traders with 10x leverage.

  • Its clearinghouse manages trades and LPs while enabling leveraged positions.

  • With the latest V2 exchange, transactions are settled on Uniswap V3 virtual token pools such as the vETH-vUSDC pool.

  • Current price: $1.68.

  • Current market cap: $43 million.

  • FDV: $68 million.

  • The CMC/FDV ratio is 0.63.

Perpetual Protocol Indicators:

Perpetual Protocol accounts for the majority of transactions happening in $OP. As OP volume grows, you can expect most of its fees to flow into Perpetual Protocol.

Interpretation of the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects

Daily Active Users (DAUs):

  • Perpetual Protocol's DAUs have surpassed GMX and Gains.

  • The Perp dex business model depends on transaction volume, which is driven by the number of users.

  • Higher DAU → higher transaction volume → more fees for protocols/stakers.

Interpretation of the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects

  • Traders are increasingly frustrated with the high fees charged by GMX_IO (0.1% variable borrow fee and 0.33% swap fee). These fees are eating into traders’ profits, and GMX’s revenue could collapse if traders decide to switch to a better product like Perpetual Protocol.

P/E Ratio:

  • Perp and Gains Network have lower price-to-earnings ratios (Perp: 7.96 times, GNS: 8.83 times), while the market capitalization is only half of the latter.

  • Considering the DAU growth, Perp's upside looks very attractive.

Interpretation of the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects

Interpretation of the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects

Total Value Locked (TVL):

  • Perp has ~$17M in USD, flat from late '22 to early '23, suggesting that capital has remained relatively sticky, a good sign of product-market fit.

Interpretation of the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects

Insurance Fund/Clearing House:

  • The insurance fund grows steadily, increasing the resilience of the protocol by ensuring traders get paid and have no bad debts.

  • While the clearinghouse has declined along with the overall cryptocurrency market, trading volumes have remained fairly steady.

Interpretation of the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects

$PERP Token Economics

$PERP token distribution: All investor tokens are issued and vested, team tokens are vested within 30 months. Most of it is for the ecosystem and rewards for long-term holders.

Interpretation of the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects

As holder:

• Staking $PERP to give you vePERP. Once the insurance fund reaches its threshold, vePERP will award you 15% of the income from the agreement.

• vePERP holders can also lock $PERP to earn 10% of total transaction fees.

Interpretation of the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects

Interpretation of the status quo of Optimism: on-chain data, token unlocking and potential projects

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