Flip Times and Flip Ratio are one of the core indicators for observing NFT data. Flip means that the seller of an NFT transaction makes a profit, that is to say - the selling price is greater than the buying price. For example, in all historical transactions of NFT, if an NFT is sold 4 times, and all of them bring profits to the seller, it means that the Collection to which this NFT belongs has 4 flips, and the corresponding address is also recorded as one flip. Success Flip.
This indicator can be applied to Collection, so that everyone can find out which collection has the most revenue. It can also be used in address analysis to analyze the investment strategy of the most profitable addresses. While paying attention to the number of profitable transactions, the profitability of transactions is also an essential part. Therefore, we also analyzed the probability that the transaction profit occupies all the transactions of a certain address. Some addresses have a transaction success rate as high as 95%, while some addresses are less than 50%. These two indicators need to be considered together when filtering which addresses are worth tracking.
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1. @GriffdenNFT
Twitter: @GriffdenNFT
Address: 0x2ea4815f47d685ed317e8bd243b89bcb26b369fa
Flip Times: 1956
Flips Ratio: 52%
Holding Value: 90ETH
NFTs: 2114
PnL: 456ETH
NFTGo Profile: https://nftgo.io/account/ETH/0x2ea4815f47d685ed317e8bd243b89bcb26b369fa/NFT
Among all the NFTs held by this address, Sappy Seals has the most Est Holding Value, accounting for 12.61%. In addition, Griffden also holds more Art Blocks and Acrocalypse. Among them, Acrocalypse is not only a PFP collectible, but also an ecosystem NFT of paperhands.gg. With this NFT, you can perform the tasks of the entire Acrocalypse galaxy.
2. jklaub.eth
Address: 0xc4c6c27b2259794a1dd35d438e703281c0e4a004
Flip Times: 1503
Flips Ratio: 59%
Holding Value: 165ETH
NFTs: 588
PnL: 648ETH
NFTGo Profile:
https://nftgo.io/account/ETH/0xc4c6c27b2259794a1dd35d438e703281c0e4a004/NFT
In the current estimated value list of NFTs held, apart from Art Blocks, Moonbirds tops the list, accounting for 16.04% of the total value of NFTs held by this address. Moonbirds is a set of NFT collections based on bird images launched by PROOF. In addition, each NFT can obtain many benefits such as private club membership, Moonbirds IP secondary creation qualification and so on.
It can be seen from the distribution ranking of purchase value that Moonbirds ranks first, and CyberKongz ranks second. CyberKongz is a PFP-type NFT. This series contains three different types of Kongz. The maximum supply is 20,000, and the current market value is 3,846ETH . It can also be seen from the data in the figure below that the address is currently estimated to be profitable at 5.16E on CyberKongz.
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3. @kdimes00
Twitter: @kdimes00
Address: 0x616ed054e0e0fdbfcad3fa2f42daed3d7d4ee448
Flip Times: 1054
Flips Ratio: 55%
Holding Value: 25ETH
NFTs: 323
PnL: 1.35k ETH
NFTGo Profile:
https://nftgo.io/account/ETH/0x616ed054e0e0fdbfcad3fa2f42daed3d7d4ee448/NFT
The NFT with the largest current valuation held by this address is DigiDaigaku, which accounts for 30.81% of the total held by this address. Next, in second place is Meebits. Notably, in the current set, Tableland Rigs is @kdimes00's highest buy value item at 28.34%, no sells, and negative returns.
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4. flur.eth
Address: 0xb32b4350c25141e779d392c1dbe857b62b60b4c9
Flip Times: 964
Flips Ratio: 74%
Holding Value: 2.36k ETH
NFTs: 6354
PnL: -351.38ETH
NFTGo Profile:
https://nftgo.io/account/ETH/0xb32b4350c25141e779d392c1dbe857b62b60b4c9/NFT
Invisible Friends and BAYC are the top two projects in terms of total estimated value held by this address, accounting for 12.90% and 12.05% respectively.
Currently, this address holds one BAYC, with an estimated profit of 55.3ETH. At the same time, I also hold CryptoPunks, but the estimated loss on CryptoPunks is as high as 37E, and it can be seen from the Sell Volume that this address has not sold CryptoPunks after buying them.
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5. nftrelichunter.eth
Address: 0x55a9c5180dcafc98d99d3f3e4b248e9156b12ac1
Flip Times: 913
Flips Ratio: 68%
Holding Value: 13.98ETH
NFTs: 3191
PnL: 1.38k ETH
NFTGo Profile:
https://nftgo.io/account/ETH/0x55a9c5180dcafc98d99d3f3e4b248e9156b12ac1/NFT
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Data, Timing and Risk
After analyzing the above five blue-chip holders who have made more profits, we found some commonalities and characteristics.
First of all, timing is very important. Seize the opportunity when the project is hot, and perform short-term Flip to get good returns. The "Vibe-to-floor" indicator speaks to this phenomenon as well. Some NFT projects have network communication properties, and some players will enter and quickly flip when the ratio of popularity and floor price is the highest.
Secondly, identifying and participating in large projects is also extremely critical. The income of different projects will be stratified to a certain extent, and large income is often concentrated in a few top projects. The distribution of profits is uneven, and often there will be a "fault" phenomenon between the first and second PnL.
Finally, Flip is a probabilistic event. Due to the rotation of liquidity, market and project popularity, the NFT market has certain risks. When observing the addresses of these well-known NFT players, we found that the estimated income of the NFT in their wallets has been negative, and the floor price is lower than the original purchase price, perhaps because they did not sell in time or hope to hold it all the time.
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