Editor's Note: This article comes fromOrange Book (ID: chengpishu), reprinted by Odaily with authorization.
Editor's Note: This article comes from
Orange Book (ID: chengpishu)
Orange Book (ID: chengpishu)
, reprinted by Odaily with authorization.
The end of 2020, which has been full of disasters and disasters, is not easy for everyone, but luckily we survived. The trend of digital currency is also very good recently. Bitcoin is just a step away from the high point of the previous round. Although it is still calm outside the circle, some friends in the circle have already started to watch their cars and watches.
There has always been a joking saying that the rise of Bitcoin has nothing to do with retail investors, who hold "precious value coins". Last week, on a whim, I sent real-name votes in several WeChat groups to see how much BTC accounted for digital currency positions in everyone's hands. In the end, nearly 500 people participated, and the participants should be regarded as relatively active currency speculation users. They have not left this circle for the past three years.
The voting results were a bit unexpected. 52% of people have less than 10% of their BTC positions, 7.6% have 10% to 30% (also the lowest proportion of the group), 14.8% have 30% to 50% positions, 15.7% have 50% to 80% positions, and 9.2% have more than 80% positions.
First of all, what I didn't expect was that a considerable proportion of people's BTC positions are still quite high, more than 30% accounted for 40%. It seems that most people are still joking and making a fortune silently.
Secondly, the number of btc positions seems to divide the crowd into two categories. A large group of people hardly hold btc. After the vote was issued, many people asked why there was no option of 0%. However, I asked a few people in private, and they really don’t have any btc at all, for various reasons.
The other category is that the btc position is quite high. At present, it seems that the old leeks are the main ones. Those who have gone through several cycles will feel that btc is still reliable, so they have left a lot in the position configuration.
Here I would like to add that many friends have about half of the btc position, and the other half of the position is mostly eth. They have two beliefs at the same time, magic and martial arts.
My voting sample is still too small. I asked the founder of a wallet before. They did it very early and the data they gave was even more amazing. They estimate that less than 10% of all domestic users who have held digital currencies have held BTC.
I have talked about digital currency with many friends in the past few years. My recent feeling is that maybe ordinary people really have no fate with BTC.
Even though BTC has been born for ten years, it is still a very new thing, there is no such thing in history, and it is naturally difficult for ordinary people to understand this new thing.
Not only is it new, BTC happens to be in an interdisciplinary field. To fully understand it, you need to have a certain knowledge reserve of finance, technology and social psychology. There are not many people who have such reserves, and many of them will be stubborn In my opinion, this will screen out a considerable number of people.
Never before, complex and interdisciplinary, the combination of these two attributes makes it very difficult to predict the development of BTC. There are many people who think they understand it, but later find that they don't understand it at all, and then there is no more.
